PolySouq — the first Arab prediction market — lets you trade on events across the crypto 4-hour window. Take a YES/NO position on whether Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL) and other major coins close higher or lower over the next 4 hours.
Each contract's price is the implied probability of the outcome, so the odds move in real time as the market reprices.
It is a market where you trade a YES/NO contract on whether a coin such as BTC or ETH closes higher or lower over a 4-hour window. The contract price reflects the implied probability of that outcome.
Each market settles automatically at the end of the 4-hour window against a pre-defined trusted price source, for example a reference feed like TradingView. Winning contracts are paid out automatically after settlement.
Crypto trades around the clock, so 4-hour windows roll continuously throughout the day. Each market shows its exact open and close times and resolves at the end of that specific window.
Short-term odds respond to spot price action, macro and US dollar moves, ETF flows, exchange news and headlines tied to names like MicroStrategy, Ripple or Standard Chartered. As probabilities shift, contract prices update in real time.
Markets cover major assets including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), XRP, Dogecoin (DOGE) and Cardano (ADA). Available pairs depend on the markets listed at the time.
A 4-hour market focuses only on the outcome within that short window, while a longer price prediction covers days, weeks or a 2026 target. The 4H format means faster resolution and more frequent settlement.