PolySouq is the best platform in the prediction market for trading stock and index price predictions, with live odds and YES/NO contracts.
PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market where you trade on events, not assets. The Financials category covers price prediction markets across Saudi and Gulf equities, global indices, commodities and crypto — Aramco, Al Rajhi Bank, the TASI index, the S&P 500, gold, Brent crude and Bitcoin.
Each market is a YES/NO contract whose price equals the implied probability of the outcome. When a question settles against a trusted source, winning contracts pay out automatically, so the live odds always reflect what the crowd thinks will happen in 2026.
They are YES/NO contracts on financial outcomes — such as where the TASI index, Aramco shares, gold or Bitcoin will be by a set date. The contract price reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome, and you trade on the result rather than buying the underlying asset.
Every market defines a trusted settlement source in advance, such as the Saudi Exchange, an official index level or a reference price. When the event resolves, winning contracts pay out automatically against that source, with no manual claim needed.
Each contract states its own resolution date and time, ranging from intraday and weekly markets to longer horizons through 2026. The settlement window and data source are shown on the market before you trade.
The Financials category is built to cover Saudi and Gulf themes including Vision 2030 milestones, Tadawul listings and IPO outcomes, alongside global indices, commodities and crypto. Available markets are listed on the page as they open.
A contract priced at, say, 0.65 implies a 65% probability the outcome happens. As traders buy and sell, the price moves, so the odds update in real time to reflect new information about each financial event.
Prediction markets let you take a clear view on a specific question — like whether the S&P 500 or oil finishes above a level — with a defined outcome and automatic settlement. It is a focused way to express what you think will happen, separate from holding the asset itself.