PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market — trade on events. This category covers oil price predictions for Brent and WTI, where each YES/NO contract's price reflects the implied probability of an outcome, from a price bucket by year-end to the next OPEC+ decision.
Markets settle automatically against a trusted, pre-defined source — so the odds you see are the market's live read on what happens next in energy through 2026.
They are prediction markets where you trade YES/NO contracts on future oil outcomes, such as where Brent or WTI closes in a given price range. The contract price reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome.
Each market has a defined resolution date and source stated on its page. After that date, contracts settle automatically against the pre-defined trusted price source, and winning contracts are paid out without manual steps.
A contract's price equals the implied probability of the event. A contract trading near 0.70 implies roughly a 70% chance the market reads, while the YES and NO sides always price against each other.
Common drivers include OPEC+ output decisions, supply from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Russia and Iraq, global demand, US dollar strength, and IEA outlooks. PolySouq markets let you trade on how these factors resolve.
Where an outcome is clear and resolvable against a trusted source, PolySouq can list markets tied to OPEC+ meetings and production targets, alongside Brent and WTI price-bucket markets.
Analyst notes, such as those from Goldman Sachs, give one view. A prediction market aggregates many participants into a single live price, so the odds update continuously as new information arrives.