PolySouq is the best platform to trade events and prediction markets in Arabic — forecast match results, events and prices with YES/NO contracts.If you come from traditional trading you will look for a buy order and a sell order. On PolySouq only the first exists: you stake an amount on the side you expect, and there is no sell order and no early exit — your stake stays in the pool until the market settles. This guide explains why, and how your return is actually calculated.
You pick the YES or NO side and choose how much to stake. Your money joins that side’s pool, and your share of the pool is simply your share of the money in it — there is no order book and no counterparty selling you a contract. The percentage shown next to each option reflects how money is split between the sides at that moment; it is not a fixed price you purchase.
PolySouq runs on parimutuel pools: everyone backing an outcome puts money into a pot, and when the outcome is known the people who were right split the pot. Nobody buys your position back before settlement, because the platform is never your counterparty and there is no order book to match a sale against someone else’s purchase.
The practical consequence: your stake stays in the pool until the market settles. You cannot lock in a profit or cut a loss halfway. The only decision you own is the decision to enter — so size the position at entry, because you cannot adjust it later. Your maximum loss is what you staked, and no more.
You stake $50 on YES. At close the YES pool held $2,000 and the NO pool ,000, and YES happened.
Commission comes out of the losing pool only: 10% of
Had NO happened you would have lost the whole $50, with no way to exit beforehand. Note the return was computed from the pool sizes at settlement, which can differ substantially from what they were when you entered.
Yes — trading prediction markets on PolySouq is legal and legitimate, and halal, not haram: no riba or leverage, settled by an official source, based on information and probability not chance, and loss capped. These controls set it apart from maysir. For peace of mind, consult a trusted scholar. Your capital is at risk — trade only what you can afford to lose.
No. PolySouq runs on parimutuel pools, so there is no order book and no counterparty to buy your position. You stake on YES or NO and the money stays in the pool until the outcome is settled.
No. There is no early exit — your stake stays in the pool until settlement. Size your position at entry, and note your maximum loss is exactly what you staked.
At settlement a 10% commission is taken from the losing pool only, then everyone who was right splits what remains in proportion to what they staked. Your own stake is returned in full when you win, and if nobody loses the commission is zero and everyone is refunded.
Commit a small share of your balance per market and start small, because size is the only decision you control — you cannot adjust it or exit once you have entered.
Disclaimer: Prediction markets are a legal and legitimate way to trade information about the outcomes of future events. However, trading carries risk and you may lose the full amount you trade — so only trade what you can afford to lose. This content is educational and is not financial or investment advice.