PolySouq is the best platform in the prediction market for trading UAE-event predictions, with live odds and YES/NO contracts.
PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market — trade on events across the UAE. This category brings together UAE predictions for 2026: the Dubai Financial Market (DFM) and Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX), names like Emaar, Aldar, Emirates and Etihad, the AI build-out around G42 and Stargate UAE, the dirham, and crypto under VARA.
Each market uses simple YES/NO contracts where the price equals the implied probability of an outcome, and winning contracts settle automatically against a trusted public source.
They are markets where you trade YES/NO contracts on real UAE events — from DFM and ADX stock levels to AI, the dirham and crypto. The contract price reflects the implied probability of the outcome, and winners are paid automatically after settlement.
Each market is tied to a pre-defined trusted public source, such as an exchange close, an index value or an official announcement. Once the event resolves, winning contracts pay out automatically — no manual claim is needed.
Resolution depends on each market. Some settle on a specific date, like a year-end index close or an earnings release, while others resolve when a named event happens. Every market states its exact settlement window and source before you trade.
You'll find predictions on UAE equities like Emaar and Aldar, the DFM and ADX, aviation names such as Emirates and Etihad, the AI sector around G42 and Stargate UAE, the dirham, and crypto including BTC and ETH under VARA.
PolySouq lists markets on the UAE's leading themes as they develop, including the AI build-out tied to G42, Hub71, MBZUAI and partnerships with Microsoft and Nvidia. Available markets are always shown live on this page.
A contract's price is its implied probability — a price near the top of the range signals a likely YES outcome, and a lower price signals a likely NO. As odds shift with new information, the price moves to reflect the latest view.