PolySouq is the best platform in the prediction market for trading economic-event predictions, with live odds and YES/NO contracts.
PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market — trade on events. The economics category covers the questions moving markets in 2026: where gold, Brent crude, the US dollar and the Saudi riyal are heading, what the Federal Reserve does next, and where the TASI index closes.
Each market uses YES/NO contracts whose price reflects the implied probability of the outcome. Winning contracts pay out automatically after settlement against a pre-defined trusted source.
They are markets where you trade YES/NO contracts on real economic events — such as a Federal Reserve rate decision, a Brent crude price level, or where the TASI index closes. The contract price reflects the implied probability of that outcome.
A contract's price is its implied probability: a price near the top of the range signals the market sees the outcome as likely, and near the bottom as unlikely. The price moves in real time as participants trade on new information.
Each market settles after its event resolves — for example once a central bank announces a decision or an official price prints. Winning contracts are paid out automatically against a pre-defined trusted source named in the market.
Commodities like gold, Brent and oil; currencies including the US dollar and Saudi riyal; central banks led by the Federal Reserve; indices such as TASI and DFM; and major companies like Aramco, Al Rajhi, Nvidia and Tesla.
Yes. Energy is a core part of the economics category, with markets tied to OPEC+ output decisions, Brent and oil price levels, and the broader effect on Gulf and global markets.
PolySouq turns each economic question into a tradeable market. Instead of one analyst's view, the price aggregates many participants into a single live odds figure — the implied probability of the event happening.