PolySouq — the first Arab prediction market, trade on events. This page explains our insider trading policy: the rules that keep prediction markets fair, so a contract's price reflects the real implied probability of an outcome — not non-public information.
Insider trading means trading on material, non-public information before it is public. On PolySouq this conduct is prohibited, because clean odds protect every participant who wants to predict what will happen and when.
It is trading on material information that is not yet public to gain an unfair edge on an outcome. On PolySouq this is prohibited, because fair odds should reflect the real implied probability available to all participants, not privileged knowledge.
A contract's price equals the implied probability of an event. When someone trades on non-public information, the price stops reflecting open knowledge and the odds become unfair. Our policy keeps prices honest so every prediction is made on equal footing.
We monitor market activity and review patterns that suggest misuse of non-public information. Where our policy is breached, we may restrict accounts, void affected positions, and take further action consistent with our terms to protect market integrity.
Yes. Using publicly available news, data, and your own analysis to predict an outcome is exactly how prediction markets are meant to work. The policy only prohibits trading on material information that is not yet public.
Each YES/NO contract settles against a pre-defined, trusted source once the event resolves, and winning contracts are paid out automatically. Settlement does not depend on private information, which is one reason our insider trading rules matter.
Contact PolySouq support with the market, the timing, and any details you have. Reports help us protect fair odds and the integrity of every prediction market on the platform.