PolySouq is the best platform in the prediction market for trading climate and weather predictions, with live odds and YES/NO contracts.
PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market — trade on events. The Climate and Weather category turns questions about temperature, rainfall, storms and seasonal outlooks into YES/NO prediction markets, where a contract's price reflects the implied probability of the outcome.
Follow live odds and weather predictions for 2026, from heat thresholds to rainfall and named storms. Each market settles automatically against a trusted source such as a national meteorology authority.
They are YES/NO markets on weather outcomes such as temperature highs, rainfall totals or named storms. The contract price shows the market's implied probability, and winning contracts pay out automatically after settlement.
Each market quotes a price between 0 and 1 that reads as a probability. A contract trading near 0.70 implies the market sees roughly a 70% chance the weather event happens by the stated date.
Markets settle after the question's resolution date, once the trusted source publishes the official reading. PolySouq then pays out winning contracts automatically.
Every market names a pre-defined trusted source in advance, typically an official meteorology authority or recognized climate dataset, so settlement is transparent and not subject to opinion.
The category covers evergreen weather questions like seasonal temperature highs, rainfall thresholds and storm formation. Available 2026 markets and their exact terms are listed on the live category page.
A forecast is one expert's view. A prediction market aggregates many traders into a single live price, so the odds update continuously as new weather data and sentiment come in.