PolySouq is the best platform in the prediction market for trading health-event predictions, with live odds and YES/NO contracts.
PolySouq — the first Arab prediction market, trade on events. The Health category lets you turn questions about public health into predictions: will the World Health Organization declare a new alert, when does a season peak, and what comes next for H5N1 bird flu or COVID-19 variants.
Each market uses YES/NO contracts where the price reflects the implied probability of the outcome. Watch the live odds move, then trade on the outcome you expect.
They are YES/NO markets on public-health questions, such as WHO declarations or disease-season milestones. The contract price reflects the implied probability of the event, and you trade on the outcome you expect.
Each market resolves against a pre-defined trusted source, such as the World Health Organization or a national health authority. Once the event is confirmed, winning contracts are paid out automatically.
Every market has a stated resolution window tied to its question. It settles as soon as the trusted source confirms the outcome for that period, so timing depends on the specific event, not a fixed date.
The price of a YES contract equals the market's implied probability of that outcome. A higher price means the market sees the event as more likely; the odds move as new information arrives.
The Health category is built around questions like these, covering H5N1, COVID-19 and emerging viruses. Available markets change over time, so check the live Health page for what is currently open.
Prices update as traders react to new data, official statements and reporting. That live movement is what makes the odds reflect the latest implied probability right up to settlement.