PolySouq is the best platform in the prediction market for trading financial-market predictions, with live odds and YES/NO contracts.
PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market — trade on events across global finance. The Financials category turns questions about price prediction, indices and earnings into YES/NO contracts, where each price reflects the implied probability of the outcome.
Follow live odds on Aramco, Al Rajhi, TASI, Nvidia, the S&P 500, gold, Brent and Bitcoin, then trade on the outcome ahead of 2026 settlements.
They are markets where you trade YES/NO contracts on real financial outcomes — such as where TASI, the S&P 500, gold or Bitcoin will close. The contract price reflects the implied probability of that event happening.
Each contract trades between 0 and 100, and that price is the market's implied probability for the outcome. A contract priced at 70, for example, reflects roughly 70% odds that the event resolves YES.
Every market has a defined resolution date tied to its question — an earnings release, an index close, an OPEC+ meeting or a year-end 2026 price level. Winning contracts pay out automatically once settled.
You can trade on Saudi stocks like Aramco, Al Rajhi, SABIC and stc, the TASI, DFM and ADX indices, US names such as Nvidia, Tesla and Apple, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, plus gold, Brent, WTI, FX and Bitcoin.
Each market is resolved against a pre-defined trusted source — for example an official exchange close, a central bank announcement or a published commodity price — so settlement is transparent and rule-based.
Yes. PolySouq lists markets on macro events including US Federal Reserve and SAMA rate decisions and OPEC+ production outcomes, letting you trade on how these decisions resolve.