PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market — trade on events across the Americas. This category covers US politics predictions, from presidential and congressional races to policy decisions, with each YES/NO contract priced as the implied probability of the outcome.
Follow live odds on figures like Donald Trump, JD Vance, Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, plus the Republican and Democratic parties, the House and Senate. Markets settle automatically against a trusted source once the event is decided in 2026.
They are markets where you trade YES/NO contracts on US and Americas political events — elections, party control, nominations and policy decisions. Each contract's price reflects the implied probability the market assigns to that outcome.
A contract's price is the market's implied probability for the event. A price near the top of the range means the market sees the outcome as likely; a low price means it is seen as unlikely. Prices move as new information arrives.
Each market settles after its event is officially decided — for example once an election is called or a vote is recorded. PolySouq resolves the market against a pre-defined trusted source and pays winning contracts automatically.
Markets span US figures like Trump, Vance, Harris and Newsom, the Republican and Democratic parties, House and Senate control, plus Americas-linked geopolitics involving Russia, Ukraine, Iran and energy markets such as Brent crude.
This category is built to cover major 2026 races and political milestones as they are scheduled. Available markets and their outcomes are always shown on the page itself, so check the live listings for what is currently open.
PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market, built for Saudi Arabia, the UAE and the wider Gulf, with an English mirror for international readers. It uses the same transparent YES/NO, implied-probability model traders know from platforms like Polymarket.