PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market — trade on events as they unfold. This category brings together US politics predictions, from White House and Congress decisions to elections and foreign policy. Each market uses YES/NO contracts where the price reflects the implied probability of an outcome.
See live odds on what could happen in 2026 involving Donald Trump, the Republican and Democratic parties, the Senate and the House — and trade on the outcome you expect.
They are YES/NO markets on real US political events — elections, Congressional votes, appointments and policy moves. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability the market assigns to that outcome.
Each contract trades between 0 and 1 (or 0 to 100%). A price near the top means the market sees a high probability of YES; a low price means a low probability. The price is the implied probability.
Each market has its own resolution date tied to the event — an election day, a vote, or an official announcement. After the event, the market settles against a pre-defined trusted source and winning contracts pay out automatically.
Markets span US elections and party outcomes, Congress and the Senate, plus foreign policy themes such as US-Iran tensions, Israel, the Russia-Ukraine war and oil-market impacts where they intersect with US decisions.
This category is where US election and political-outcome markets appear as they open. Browse the page to see which 2026 races and questions currently have live odds on PolySouq.
PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market, built for Saudi Arabia, the UAE and the wider Gulf, with an English mirror for international readers. The mechanic is similar: YES/NO contracts whose price is the implied probability of an event.