PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market — trade on events. The Europe Politics category turns major European questions into YES/NO contracts, where the price reflects the implied probability of each outcome. Track elections, leadership races and policy decisions across the EU, the UK, Turkey and the wider region.
From the Russia–Ukraine conflict to votes in Brussels, Paris and Ankara, each market shows live odds and settles automatically against a pre-defined trusted source — no guesswork, just clear prices.
They are YES/NO contracts on European political events — elections, leadership changes, treaties and policy votes. Each contract's price reflects the implied probability of that outcome, so you can trade on what you think will happen.
A contract trades between 0 and 100. The price equals the market's implied probability: a contract near 70 means the market reads the event as roughly 70% likely. As new information arrives, the odds move.
Each market settles after its event resolves — for example once an election result is certified or a vote is confirmed. Settlement runs automatically against a pre-defined trusted source, and winning contracts are paid out.
Markets cover elections and leadership races in countries like France, Germany, the UK and Turkey, EU-level decisions, and the trajectory of the Russia–Ukraine conflict, among other questions.
Markets are framed around clear, verifiable outcomes such as who wins an office or whether a measure passes. We focus on events that can be settled objectively against a trusted source.
PolySouq is the first prediction market built for the Arab world and its English mirror serves an international audience. The core mechanic — trading on event outcomes via priced contracts — is similar to global venues like Polymarket.