PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market — trade on events. This category covers Middle East politics predictions, from US foreign policy and Iran-Israel tensions to Turkey's elections and the Strait of Hormuz. Each market uses YES/NO contracts where the price equals the implied probability of an outcome.
Read the odds the way the market does: a higher contract price means a more likely event. Winning contracts settle automatically against a pre-defined trusted source.
They are YES/NO markets on real political events — like elections, diplomatic talks or policy decisions in the region. The contract price reflects the implied probability the market assigns to each outcome.
Each contract trades between 0 and 100. The price is read directly as a percentage chance: a contract near 70 implies roughly a 70% probability. As new information arrives, prices and odds move.
A market settles after its event resolves — for example once an election is called or a deadline passes. PolySouq resolves each outcome against a pre-defined trusted source and pays winning contracts automatically.
Markets span US foreign policy, Iran and Israel tensions, the Strait of Hormuz, Turkey's political landscape, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, among other Middle East and global political questions.
No. PolySouq does not publish forecasts. It shows the live odds and implied probabilities that traders collectively assign, so you can see what the market currently expects.
News reports what happened; prediction markets price what may happen next. The odds aggregate many participants' views into a single, continuously updated probability for each outcome.