PolySouq — the first Arab prediction market — lets you trade on events across Asia politics. Each market uses YES/NO contracts where the price equals the implied probability of an outcome, so the odds move in real time as the story develops.
Explore predictions on Iran, Israel, Turkey and regional flashpoints — from elections and leadership questions to the Strait of Hormuz — all settled against a pre-defined trusted source.
They are YES/NO markets on political events across Asia and the wider region, such as elections, leadership questions and diplomacy. Each contract's price reflects the implied probability of that outcome happening.
A contract trading at a higher price signals the market sees a higher chance of that outcome. Because price equals implied probability, you can read the odds directly off the market as new information arrives.
Each market has a defined resolution date and a pre-defined trusted source. Once the event concludes, winning contracts are paid out automatically against that source.
Markets can span Iran, Israel, Turkey and the wider region — including elections, leadership and security questions like the Strait of Hormuz — depending on which events are live and verifiable.
Political events in the region often move sentiment in commodities such as Brent crude and gold. PolySouq lets you follow politics and price-prediction markets side by side.
PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market, built for the region with both Arabic and an English mirror. It applies the same prediction-market mechanic of trading on the outcome of real events.