Welcome to Israel politics predictions on PolySouq — the first Arab prediction market, where you trade on events. This category covers the Knesset, the governing coalition, the next Israeli election and high-profile votes, with each contract priced as the implied probability of an outcome.
Markets quote live odds as YES/NO contracts, and winning contracts pay out automatically once the event settles against a trusted, pre-defined source.
They are prediction markets where you trade YES/NO contracts on Israeli political events such as elections, the coalition's survival and key Knesset votes. Each contract's price reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome.
A contract trades between 0 and 100, and that price is the implied probability of the event happening. As more participants trade, the price moves to reflect the latest odds in real time.
Each market settles after its defined event concludes — for example once an election result or a Knesset vote is official. Settlement is automatic against a pre-defined trusted source, and winning contracts pay out without any manual step.
Yes, this category is built to host markets on questions like when the next election is held and who could become prime minister. Available markets evolve as new political events take shape heading into 2026.
Typical questions include who wins the next election, whether the current coalition holds, the timing of a vote, and other clearly resolvable institutional outcomes — each framed so a trusted source can settle it.
PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market, built for Saudi Arabia, the UAE, the wider Gulf and the Arab region, with an English mirror for international readers. The core mechanic — trading the implied probability of real events — is shared with global venues.