PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market — trade on events. This category turns questions about the UAE's policy, institutions and economy into tradable YES/NO contracts, where each price is the implied probability of an outcome.
From the Central Bank of the UAE and VARA to ADNOC, G42 and the AED, see the live odds, predictions and settlement source for each 2026 market.
They are YES/NO contracts on UAE policy, institutional and economic events. Each contract's price reflects the implied probability of an outcome, and winning contracts pay out automatically after the event settles against a trusted public source.
A contract priced near the top of its range signals a high implied probability, while a lower price signals a less likely outcome. As traders update their views, the price moves, so the odds reflect the market's live read on the event.
Each market lists its own resolution date and the trusted source used to settle it. Once the event concludes and the source confirms the result, the market settles and winning contracts are paid out automatically.
Markets can cover bodies and themes such as the Central Bank of the UAE, VARA, ADGM, ADNOC, G42, the AED, DFM and ADX, plus initiatives like Stargate UAE, MBZUAI, Hub71 and Expo City Dubai.
Yes. Alongside political and institutional questions, markets can track economic indicators and the UAE's AI agenda, including projects tied to G42, K2 Think and national AI strategy, wherever the outcome is clearly resolvable.
PolySouq is the first Arab prediction market, built to let you trade on events across the Gulf and the wider Arab region. It turns questions about the UAE's direction into clear, tradable odds with transparent settlement.